Mon 6th Aug 2018

Welcome to the daily DAX commentary where we share with members our unique take on Price Action as the session unfolds. We comment on trade setups that conform to our trading edge and how we use the hybrid Blackbox Trade Controller for MT4.

Use the comments section below to post questions and read what others are saying.

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12:10

A few more thoughts.

I’m feeling Philly-Sophical 🙂

The losing trade below was a really good Buy setup after the strong bull spike. I would therefore trade the setup again!

My mistake was to wander into my office, see the bull spike, see that price had just pulled back to the Open/YesHigh and enter a buy trade without first checking to see where the best value was.

The Stop HAD to be below YesClose, mine was sat right on it and I resisted the temptation to move it.

Lesson: NEVER rush a trade and ensure to mark up the Golden Zone-Role Reversal correctly!!

The positive I take is that the setup was a good, just poorly executed.

11:38

Rushed trade, -1.11R loser!

I’m not supposed to be trading but came into office to see the bull spike and entered a buy trade without correctly marking up structure.

I paid the price with a loser….

The better value entry was at YesClose but I entered at the Open etc. 

Was NOT The Bear…

The 2R would have just come in!!!!!

10:10

Time to switch roles

No trades so far for me as explained below. It’s just after 10am and I’ve got to switch roles for a few hours.

I’m looking at the charts and bemused how I missed the recent GZ M5 MAB, probably because I was focussing on the Reversal Micro-FIBCON off the 12542.7 level and updating the blog.

I need to strike the right balance, the idea is that the blog does not detract from the trading.

However, I’m pleased to have not got frustrated and given in to bad habits like chasing price. ‘Being The Bear’ is vital to us being consistent and I’d rather have zero profit than have a losing day due to low value, low probabilty trades.

We must keep reminding ourselves when we’ve missed the value entry point:

“Another setup will present itself, we just need to be patient and ready to strike!”

The session has so far provided two great setups, the one at 08:02 was fast moving but tradable, the M5 MAB at 09:35 was text book!

09:48

Missed Great GZ M5 Sell MAB!!!!

Wow!!!

I’m not tuned in this morning, whilst updating the blog I missed a great GZ M5 Sell MAB that had the following confluent at point C:

  • H1 Bear mid-channel
  • 61.8 level
  • M5 EQZ level at 12579.9
  • D1 EQZ level at 12577.5

That’s two ‘Juicy Salmon’ I’ve just missed!!

I’m pleased I’ve not been drawn into chasing price but feel frustrated I’ve missed these two. Well done anyone who took these, they are crackers!

This Bear’s feeling a little sleepy this morning 🙂

09:28

GZ Reveral Buy FIBCON

I’ve not yet traded so far. After missing the Juicy salmon from earlier I’ve not wanted to chase price and have resisted selling into SUPCON though the one trade would have worked out.

I’ve marked up a GZ Reversal FIBCON that I did consider taking but passed, maybe if I’d had a few R in the bag I’d have taken it as with good timing at the 12556.2 level the 2R would have come in.

However, this was counter-trend short term and aggressive BUT the Gird structure supported the idea!!

08:14

Missed GZ M15 Sell MAB

I missed a great GZ M15 Sell MAB at the Golden High-Low Zone just after 8am 🙁

This is yet another great example of the session’s Golden FIBCON, in this case a Golden High-Low sell setup adding to the confluence.

Note the inner FIBCON’s 61.8 level at 12638.3 is just above the 50% level of the Golden High-Low zone. This is confluent with:

  • M15 MAB
  • Yes Close
  • The M5 EQZ mid-line at 12640.7

I did not mark this up in time but what a great early sell setup just after the London open at 8am.

This was a “Juicy Salmon” for sure, below is the 5 min chart that shows it very clearly. Note the Role-Reversal zone when looking-left.

07:42

GZ M1 Sell Micro-FIBCON

An early M1 Sell Micro-FIBCON with good structure just after the 7am gap down. I passed due to selling into possible RR Zone on 15 min chart?

 

3 thoughts on “Mon 6th Aug 2018”

  1. Good morning!

    What a great setup the M15 Sell MAB!

    As I’m typing, price is battling with the bottom line of a Daily equidistant zone. If it brakes it, it could easily go till the PW Low, which looks incredibly attractive for a buy. Let’s see!

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