Tue 30th Jun

Welcome to the daily DAX commentary where we share with members our unique take on Price Action as the session unfolds. We comment on trade setups that conform to our Trading Edge and how we use the hybrid Blackbox Trade Controller for MT4.

Use the comments section below to post questions and read what others are saying.

Remember to:

13:38

No Fish Sighted?

Price reversed back down without offering a REVFIB, nothing even close. If price had reached Yes High maybe that would have produced a sell setup but unless you sold at the 12318 level it was tough to get on the move back down.

I was waiting for a PB to 12281 for an M1+M5 sell once price moved back below it but nothing at all. Just one of those range days where no fish are biting. However, another example where price is stepping up and down through the midlines with obvious precision.

For me, the best setup was the buy REVFIB off the Low as noted in my earlier post.

11:42

REVFIB off the Low

I did not see this in real-time BUT should have!

I’d identified the reversal zone (BOR) if price was going to move back up as shown on the H1 screenshot from my earlier post. Hidden away was a decent buy REVFIB that included an M1 Bull channel at the 12207 level.

The REVFIB is appearing often at key reversal areas, they vary but they all have the same core A-B-C symmetry. They represent a shift in the energy from bullish or bearish.

When I have days like yesterday the case for trading only REVFIBs once you’ve identified the range or possible reversal zone makes so much sense??

 

 

11:21

Price Range-Bound (12189-12350)

After my earlier sell loser, I was reminded of the context of range-bound price action. I sold into support as you can see from the H1 chart above.

Note the FIB tool in blue and how price came down into its GZ before moving back up.

This time I passed on the M5 sell MAB due to the context, it proved a good call. 

 

09:15

Sell Loser, Poor Trade Context

I’m NOT following the rules for Ranges very well this week. Had I done so I’d have not entered the sell trades yesterday morning?

And today I took an aggressive sell after a new low was briefly made thinking the 12202 level was a target BUT the H1 chart shows how supportive the level is and any sell trades close to it should be avoided.

Price is in a tight micro-range right now, a clear break below 12207 might offer a sell setup?

06:15

Bulls in Control Yesterday

After testing the 11985 level yesterday morning around 7 am the bulls took control and pushed up through the EQZ to the 12281 level.

The 12577 level could be a target if the bulls remain in control, but first, they would have to get through the midline@12429 which is confluent with a 61.8 level which was acting in a TOR role last week, see the screenshot.

A clear break back below 12281 would mean the bears are back in control.

3 thoughts on “Tue 30th Jun”

Leave a comment